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Hawaii Comment on NFIB’s Latest Small Business Optimism Index

Hawaii Comment on NFIB’s Latest Small Business Optimism Index

February 11, 2025

A third consecutive month above the 51-year average has some wondering if a rebound is here

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: Michael Iosua, Hawaii State Director,  miosua@mkadvocacy.com
or Tony Malandra, Senior Media Manager, anthony.malandra@nfib.org

HONOLULU, Feb. 11, 2025—Release today of the latest monthly Small Business Economic Trends Report from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) showed a slight drop in optimism among the nation’s Main Street entrepreneurs but there was a silver lining.

“It needs emphasizing that the slight drop in optimism still registered a third consecutive month above the Index’s 51-year average, which is all the more remarkable when prior to this three month stretch, the Index weathered 34 consecutive months of below-average readings,” said Michael Iosua, state director for NFIB in Hawaii. “Right now, so much is dependent on the right state and federal policies before anyone can assume a sustainable rebound of the small-business economy has arrived and plans to stay awhile.”

NFIB’s monthly Small Business Optimism Index is the gold standard measurement of America’s small business economy. Used by the Federal Reserve, Congressional leaders, administration officials, and state legislatures across the nation, it’s regarded as the bellwether on the health and welfare of the Main Street enterprises that employ half of all workers, generate more net new jobs than large corporations, and gave most of us the first start in our working life. The Optimism Index (aka Small Business Economic Trends report) is a national snapshot of NFIB-member, small-business owners not broken down by state. The typical NFIB member employs between one and nine people and reports gross sales of about $500,000 a year.

From NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg

“Overall, small business owners remain optimistic regarding future business conditions, but uncertainty is on the rise. Hiring challenges continue to frustrate Main Street owners as they struggle to find qualified workers to fill their many open positions. Meanwhile, fewer plan capital investments as they prepare for the months ahead.”

Highlights from the Latest Small Business Optimism Index

  • The net percent of owners expecting the economy to improve fell five points from December to a net 47% (seasonally adjusted).
  • Thirty-five percent (seasonally adjusted) of all owners reported job openings they could not fill in the current period, unchanged from December.
  • Twenty percent (seasonally adjusted) plan capital outlays in the next six months, down seven points from December.
  • A net 3% of owners reported that their last loan was harder to get than in previous attempts (down one point). The last time it was this low was June 2022.
  • A net 0% (seasonally adjusted) of owners plan inventory investment in the coming months, down six points from December’s highest reading since December 2021.

Keep up with the latest Hawaii small-business news at www.nfib.com or by following NFIB Hawaii on X @NFIB_HI.

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For more than 80 years, NFIB has been advocating on behalf of America’s small and independent business owners, both in Washington, D.C., and in all 50 state capitals. NFIB is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, and member-driven association. Since its founding in 1943, NFIB has been exclusively dedicated to small and independent businesses and remains so today. For more information, please visit nfib.com.

NFIB Hawaii
745 Fort Street Mall 17th Floor
Honolulu, HI 96813
808-541-9050
NFIB.com/HI
X: @NFIB_HI

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