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Small Business Index Slips Below its Historic Average

Small Business Index Slips Below its Historic Average

June 9, 2026

NFIB California in Washington, D.C., this week to lobby Congress on two important bills

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: John Kabateck, California State Director, john.kabateck@nfib.org
or Tony Malandra, Senior Media Manager, anthony.malandra@nfib.org

SACRAMENTO, Calif., June 9, 2026—Release of today’s monthly Small Business Economic Trends (SBET) report from NFIB found it falling 0.6 points in May to 95.3, remaining below its 52-year average of 98.0. The Uncertainty Index rose 3 points from April to 91, remaining well above its historical average of 68.

NOTE TO EDITORS. A delegation of California small business owners led by John Kabateck, state director for NFIB in California, is in Washington, D.C. this week to lobby for two congressional bills important for small businesses: repealing the Beneficial Ownership Information (BOI) reporting requirement and registry and reforming credit card swipe fees. More here. To reach Kabateck for comment on any state and federal matter related to small business, call him at 916-956-9027, john.kabateck@nfib.org.

The NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

From NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg

“AI investment spending has contributed to some excitement in the economy. Despite the enthusiasm around AI, the overall picture is divided. More small business owners are struggling with significant and unpredictable hikes in fuel prices, which are more challenging for small businesses to pass on to their customers compared to their larger corporate competitors.”

Highlights from the May SBET Include:

  • Eighteen percent of business owners cited inflation as their single most important business problem, up 2 points from April and marking the highest reading since December 2024.
  • In May, reports of both actual and planned price increases rose significantly. The net percent of owners raising average selling prices rose 6 points from April to a net 36% (seasonally adjusted), marking the highest reading since March 2023. A net 34% (seasonally adjusted) plan to increase prices, up 7 points from April and marking the highest reading since July 2022.
  • Sixteen percent (seasonally adjusted) of small business owners plan to make capital outlays in the next six months, down 1 point from April and the lowest level since March 2009.
  • Seventy percent of small business owners reported that supply chain disruptions affected their business to some extent, up 6 points from April.

 

Keep up with the latest California small-business news at www.nfib.com. Follow us on X @NFIB_CA and on Facebook @NFIB.CA.

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For over 80 years, NFIB has been advocating on behalf of America’s small and independent business owners, both in Washington, D.C., and in all 50 state capitals. NFIB is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, and member-driven association. Since our founding in 1943, NFIB has been exclusively dedicated to small and independent businesses and remains so today. For more information, please visit nfib.com.

NFIB California
915 L St. Ste C-411
Sacramento, CA 95814
916-448-9904
NFIB.com
X: @NFIB_CA
Facebook: @NFIB.CA

 

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