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Alaska Comment on Latest Small Business Optimism Index

Alaska Comment on Latest Small Business Optimism Index

May 12, 2026

Legislature’s upcoming adjournment next week should help clarify conditions for rest of year

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: Thor Stacey, Alaska State Director, thor@thorstaceyassociates.com
Tony Malandra, Senior Media Manager, anthony.malandra@nfib.org

JUNEAU, Alaska, May 12, 2026—From Thor Stacey, state director for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) in Alaska, on today’s release of NFIB’s monthly Small Business Economic Trends (SBET) report showing it falling below its 52-year average of for the second month in a row. April’s 95.9 reading came in under the 98.0 historic average.

“It’s no surprise that the Uncertainty Index component in the latest SBET report remains above its historic average, given all that is going on in the nation and in the world, but a couple of things that will make things less uncertain are Congress’ making the 20% Small Business Deduction permanent and the Alaska Legislature’s upcoming adjournment next week. By nature and necessity, small business owners are planners and need to know where things stand before deciding on whether to hire a new employee or buy a new piece of equipment.”

The NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), not broken down by state.

From NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg

“Inflationary pressures continue to be a challenge for Main Street. While small business optimism is currently fragile, the benefits of the Working Families Tax Cut Act should start to feed into the private sector over the next few months.”

Highlights from the April SBET Include:

  • The Employment Index fell in April, from 101.6 to 100.4. This is the second month in a row of decline. The current reading is now below the 2025 average of 101.2 but still slightly above the historical average of 100.0
  • In April, reports of both actual and planned price increases rose. The net percent of owners raising average selling prices rose 5 points from March to a net 30% (seasonally adjusted), well above its historical average of net 13%. Looking forward to the next three months, a net 27% (seasonally adjusted) plan to increase prices, up 3 points from March.
  • The net percent of owners expecting better business conditions fell 7 points from March to a net 4% (seasonally adjusted). This was the fourth consecutive monthly decline in expected business conditions and the lowest level since October 2024.
  • In April, 7% (seasonally adjusted) reported that it is a good time to expand their business, down 4 points from March and the lowest level since October 2024.

 

Keep up with the latest Alaska small business news at www.nfib.com. Follow us on X at @NFIB_AK.

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For over 80 years, NFIB has been advocating on behalf of America’s small and independent business owners, both in Washington, D.C., and in all 50 state capitals. NFIB is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, and member-driven association. Since our founding in 1943, NFIB has been exclusively dedicated to small and independent businesses and remains so today. For more information, please visit nfib.com.

NFIB Alaska
Box 211231
907-723-1494
Juneau, AK 99821
www.nfib.com
X: @NFIB.AK

 

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