PA House Passes Extreme Minimum Wage Hike on Party-Line Vote as New Study Warns of Cost to Main Street Jobs and Income

June 20, 2023 Last Edit: June 5, 2025

Small businesses would suffer disproportionately, forecast shows

PA House Passes Extreme Minimum Wage Hike on Party-Line Vote as New Study Warns of Cost to Main Street Jobs and Income

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE HARRISBURG, PA (June 20, 2023) – Today, as the one-seat Pennsylvania House majority pushed through legislation on a party-line vote that would drastically hike the state minimum wage, a newly released economic study commissioned by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), the nation’s leading small business advocacy association, warned the move could lead to significant job losses, income reductions, and closures for small businesses across the Commonwealth. The economic impact study specifically examines the proposed Pennsylvania minimum wage increase mandated in House Bill 1500, which had been referred to the Committee on Labor and Industry on June 12 and passed out to the full House. The bill would raise the state minimum wage from the current rate of $7.25 per hour to $15.00 per hour by 2026. Additionally, under this legislation, future, annual minimum wage hikes would be automatic and tied to inflation data reported by the Pennsylvania Secretary of Labor and Industry. The study finds that if the bill in question becomes law and the minimum wage increased to $15 per hour, more than 101,000 jobs would be lost over the next ten years. 57,000, or 56%, of these jobs would come from small businesses. Additionally, the cumulative real economic output loss would exceed $13 billion by 2033. Nearly $7 billion, or 51.2, of this output loss would have been produced by small businesses. “The new study makes clear that the negative impact of this extreme, one-size-fits-all wage hike bill would fall disproportionately on Pennsylvania’s small employers, who are less able to plan for and absorb the aggressive increase in labor costs than larger corporate employers,” said NFIB State Director Greg Moreland. “If the minimum wage is more than doubled to $15 an hour as this bill requires, over 101,000 jobs would be lost over the next ten years. Pennsylvania’s small businesses are dealing with multiple financial hardships since the pandemic and state-mandated restrictions and lockdowns. Inflation, labor shortages, supply chain disruptions, high fuel prices, spiking utility rates, and crushing taxes are dragging down Main Streets across Pennsylvania. Small business owners simply cannot afford Harrisburg politicians saddling them with such drastic labor cost increases.” Many small businesses will not be able to afford these higher wages and the payroll taxes that accompany them, and there will also be immense pressure on labor costs up the pay scale. NFIB argues that Pennsylvania should be providing financial relief to small, independent businesses, and not continuing to saddle Main Street with higher costs and mandates. NFIB commissioned this study (“Economic Impacts of a Proposed Minimum Wage Increase in Pennsylvania,” June 2023) by Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI), after indications that the new, one-vote majority in the state House planned to advance the most aggressive hike ever to the Commonwealth’s minimum wage, more than doubling the rate to $15 per hour.

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For 80 years, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) has been the voice of small business, advocating on behalf of America’s small and independent business owners, both in Washington, D.C., and in all 50 state capitals. NFIB is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and member driven. Since our founding in 1943, NFIB has been exclusively dedicated to small and independent businesses and remains so today. For more information, please visit www.NFIB.com.

Topics:

Taxes

State:

Pennsylvania

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