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Huge Disconnect Between Perception and Performance at Heart of Latest Economic Survey in Washington
Release Date: 12/ 01/ 2005

CONTACT: Carolyn Logue, (360) 786-8675 or Tony Malandra, (415) 664-9685

Dim view of Washington small-business environment belies strong performance in some important categories

OLYMPIA, Wash. -- Washington is no longer the worst among the 26 largest-economy states in the nation on how its small-business owners view the support they get from their state, communities, and institutions, according to the latest Small-Conditions ReportSM from the National Federation of Independent Business released today.

The Research Foundation of NFIB, America's largest small-business advocacy group, begins each of its 26 state reports with the same question: Do you consider the state business environment, including government officials, bankers, media outlets, community organizations, etc., to be highly supportive, supportive, neutral, not supportive or not at all supportive of small business? A net-support rate ("highly" and "supportive" minus "not supportive" and "not at all supportive") is then calculated to come up with a general perception. For three consecutive quarters, Washington has been the only state to rack up a negative rating each time: a net negative 9 percent in March, a net negative 4 percent in June, and a net negative 1 percent in September. But the negative streak is over in today's report with a 0 percent net-support rate. By comparison, Iowa small-business owners gave their state a net positive 37 percent, the best in the nation. New York had the worst with negative 1 percent.

"Looking at just that one question can leave one with the false impression that small business is about as welcome as a toxic waste dump in Washington," said Carolyn Logue, state director for the 15,000-member NFIB/Washington "But a closer look at the report reveals a disconnection between how small-business owners view the support they receive from other societal entities and how they are actually doing. On the one hand, you have a depressing picture and on the other, very obvious hope, such as Washington racking up the sixth-best rating in sales and the seventh-best in profits."

The disconnection, however, is not on the part of small-business owners, according to Logue, but on the part of elected and appointed government officials who are all behind small business in rhetoric, but in reality tax them on their gross sales whether or not any profit was made. Lawmakers also raise the minimum-wage rates on them every year (one of a few states to do so), make it a regular ritual to add more costly mandates to their health care, and ask for more workers' compensation premiums -- in spite of a $1 billion surplus in the trust fund. "We should be doing much better on the first question. Moving from negative 9 percent to zero percent only means our state's elected officials have a lot more work to do to show small businesses they really care," Logue said.

Two new questions added to the December survey showed the recent run-up in energy prices having a "seriously negative," "somewhat negative," or "slightly negative" effect on nearly 74 percent of small-business owners. As to which costs were rising most rapidly, 27 percent of small-business owners said materials; 27 percent chose insurance; and 21 percent said energy.

Washington Small-Business ConditionsSM
This chart shows the results from Washington and its comparative standing among selected states in the region.
    Wash. No.
Calif.
Colo. Ore.
Business Climate Survey Date        
Overall state business environment          
Net % supportive of small business 11/2005 0 7 33 14
  Prior qtr. -1 9 28 13
Business conditions in market area          
Net % "good" 11/2005 38 44 42 41
  Prior qtr. 42 44 44 41
Net % "improving" 11/2005 12 11 10 15
  Prior qtr. 19 16 20 12
Outlook for business          
Net % "good" in next three months 11/2005 54 58 59 62
  Prior qtr. 67 66 64 64
Reason for optimism          
% Sales prospects 11/2005 49 41 43 46
  Prior qtr. 44 42 44 44
% Lower costs 11/2005 4 4 4 3
  Prior qtr. 2 4 1 2
% Price increases 11/2005 2 5 4 3
  Prior qtr. 4 3 3 3
% Greater productivity 11/2005 12 14 17 12
  Prior qtr. 17 15 10 11
% Government policy 11/2005 4 4 5 2
  Prior qtr. 4 5 4 4
% Seasonal/Weather 11/2005 11 14 10 15
  Prior qtr. 8 7 11 12
Reason for pessimism          
% Sales prospects 11/2005 IC* IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Cost increases 11/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Pressure on selling prices 11/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Lower productivity 11/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Government policies 11/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
    Wash. No.
Calif.
Colo. Ore.
Sales and earnings (last quarter)          
Sales          
Net % sales "good" 11/2005 45 44 45 51
  Prior qtr. 52 47 52 52
Profits          
Net % profits "good" 11/2005 31 32 24 35
  Prior qtr. 32 31 33 34
Employment          
Current job openings (one or more)          
% "Yes" 11/2005 16 17 19 19
  Prior qtr. 21 23 19 17
Per employee payroll cost          
Net % "risen" 11/2005 22 14 17 21
  Prior qtr. 20 13 12 25
Employee cost pressures (greater)          
% Wages 11/2005 50 51 56 56
  Prior qtr. 53 52 56 53
% Benefits 11/2005 31 25 26 24
  Prior qtr. 29 25 22 28
    Wash. No.
Calif.
Colo. Ore.
Productivity          
Upgraded technology/processes (last three months)          
% "Yes" 11/2005 45 42 50 47
  Prior qtr. 42 46 42 45
Made capital expenditure(s)  (last three months)          
% "Yes" 11/2005 44 40 48 50
  Prior qtr. 46 44 39 43
Made expenditure to train employee(s) (last three months)          
% "Yes" 11/2005 43 36 46 47
  Prior qtr. 44 38 41 41
Capacity utilization - can increase sales 10% without new inputs          
% "Yes" 11/2005 51 53 53 63
  Prior qtr. 53 54 52 54
Credit availability (last three months)          
% All credit needs satisfied 11/2005 35 34 39 35
  Prior qtr. 36 36 37 39
% All credit needs not satisfied 11/2005 7 6 3 4
  Prior qtr. 5 8 5 7
% No credit needs 11/2005 55 51 55 55
  Prior qtr. 52 50 49 48
    Wash. No.
Calif.
Colo. Ore.
Prices          
Purchasing prices (last three months)          
Net % increased 11/2005 62 52 59 64
  Prior qtr. 52 48 50 55
Selling prices (last three months)          
Net % increased 11/2005 23 24 21 27
  Prior qtr. 19 20 17 20
Miscellaneous          
Involvement in start of another business          
% "Yes" 11/2005 12 11 14 11
  Prior qtr. 11 10 10 13
Single most important business problem          
% Weak sales 11/2005 12 9 8 11
  Prior qtr. 9 11 7 10
% Taxes 11/2005 14 10 10 9
  Prior qtr. 16 10 11 9
% Employee quality/costs 11/2005 12 12 9 14
  Prior qtr. 10 12 11 10
% Insurance 11/2005 10 15 14 15
  Prior qtr. 12 19 16 17
% Big-business competition 11/2005 9 13 13 9
  Prior qtr. 12 13 16 14
% Inflation/Rising prices 11/2005 15 10 19 17
  Prior qtr. 12 15 13 11
% Credit availability/Interest rates 11/2005 2 2 5 3
  Prior qtr. 1 3 3 3
% Regulations/Red tape 11/2005 12 9 6 8
  Prior qtr. 11 6 5 9
* Insufficient cases
Washington Quarterly Spotlight
What of your total costs are rising most rapidly?
Energy 21%
Labor 12%
Insurance 27%
Materials 27%
Some other 4%
None rising rapidly 5%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Total 100%
What has been the impact on your business of the recent run-up in energy prices?
Seriously negative 17%
Somewhat negative 29%
Slightly negative 28%
No impact 21%
Positive 2%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Total 100%

 

The Poll
NFIB’s Washington Small-Business ConditionsSM is a telephone survey of a random sample of Washington small employers regarding business conditions within the state. “Small employer” is defined here as employing between one and 250 people (not including the owner(s)) in a for-profit business. Each edition of the survey has a minimum of 350 respondents. The sampling error is ± 5 percentage points. Data are collected quarterly in the months of February, May, August and November, beginning in February 2005. The MRCGroup of Las Vegas conducts the survey for the NFIB Research Foundation.

The Sponsor
The NFIB Research Foundation is a 501 (c)(3) organization that provides policy-makers, media, educators, small-business owners and other interested parties empirically based information on small business and small-business owners. The Foundation is affiliated with the National Federation of Independent Business, the nation’s largest small- and independent-business advocacy organization, and is located in Washington, D.C.

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