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NFIB Small-Business Conditions Survey: Business Conditions in Tennessee Dip, Optimism Cooling
Release Date: 09/ 01/ 2005

CONTACT: Rob Ikard, (615) 872-5855 or Jim Brown, (615) 874-5288

Tennessee’s Small-Business Owners Shed Light on Role of Immigrant Labor

NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- Business conditions showed signs of weakening in Tennessee, according to this quarter’s Tennessee Small-Business ConditionsSM. The report’s data, which was released today by the National Federation of Independent Business/Tennessee, provides an overview of small-business conditions within Tennessee and compares them with neighboring states.

A net 40 percent (positive percent minus negative percent) of respondents said business conditions are “good,” down from June’s net 44 percent and a net 47 percent in the March report. Tennessee’s reading trailed Virginia’s (net 62 percent), Georgia’s (net 52 percent), Missouri’s (net 44 percent) and North Carolina’s (net 43 percent). Only a net 5 percent of respondents reported that business conditions are “improving,” down from a net 21 percent in March and net 14 percent in June.

“The data from NFIB/Tennessee’s Small-Business ConditionsSM indicates our business climate, while still relatively robust, is not as healthy as it was earlier this year,” NFIB/Tennessee State Director Rob Ikard said. “Tennessee’s economy appears to be losing some momentum, though some of the weakness may be due to seasonal reasons. While the trend is a concern, conditions for small business in Tennessee are still pretty good overall.”

Ikard noted a net 55 percent of respondents said average prices paid for goods and services “increased,” up from a net 52 percent and net 49 percent the previous two quarters, respectively. He also highlighted that only a net 12 percent were able to increase selling prices, down from a net 17 percent the previous two quarters. Both readings appear to indicate that rising gas costs, among other items, may be pressuring more small businesses. Fifteen percent reported higher per employee compensation costs. Despite declines in some of the indicators, small-business owners (a net 61 percent) said business prospects over the next several months look “good.”

Forty-one percent of respondents believe immigrant labor is “important” to businesses in their area while 47 percent believe it isn't. Regarding roles, 30 percent said immigrant labor “fills jobs that otherwise wouldn't be filled,” 27 percent said immigrant workers have “no appreciable role,” 12 percent said immigrant labor “crowds out American workers” and 8 percent said immigrants “provide skills not otherwise available.”

Tennessee small-business owners reported their single most important business problem is insurance (19 percent), followed by taxes, and inflation and rising prices (both 13 percent).

For information about the Small-Business ConditionsSM project and other small-business research studies conducted by the NFIB Research Foundation, visit www.NFIB.com/research.

Tennessee Small-Business ConditionsSM
This chart shows the results from Tennessee and its comparative standing among selected nearby states.
    Tenn. Ga. Mo. N.C. Va.
Business Climate Survey Date          
Overall state business environment            
Net % supportive of small business 5/2005 32 37 28 38 41
  Prior qtr. 32 36 29 42 32
Business conditions in market area            
Net % "good" 5/2005 40 52 44 43 62
  Prior qtr. 44 45 43 44 48
Net % "improving" 5/2005 6 25 11 14 27
  Prior qtr. 14 26 15 25 20
Outlook for business            
Net % "good" in next three months 5/2005 62 67 66 65 73
  Prior qtr. 61 64 62 65 69
Reason for optimism            
% Sales prospects 5/2005 37 51 43 43 49
  Prior qtr. 45 40 42 39 42
% Lower costs 5/2005 3 5 4 2 2
  Prior qtr. 2 6 2 3 4
% Price increases 5/2005 4 1 3 4 2
  Prior qtr. 2 6 5 4 3
% Greater productivity 5/2005 16 11 12 18 9
  Prior qtr. 15 13 16 12 15
% Government policy 5/2005 4 6 6 4 5
  Prior qtr. 4 6 4 4 4
% Seasonal/Weather 5/2005 10 8 11 9 10
  Prior qtr. - - - - -
Reason for pessimism            
% Sales prospects 5/2005 IC* IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC IC
% Cost increases 5/2005 IC IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC IC
% Pressure on selling prices 5/2005 IC IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC IC
% Lower productivity 5/2005 IC IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC IC
% Government policies 5/2005 IC IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC IC
    Tenn. Ga. Mo. N.C. Va.
Sales and earnings (last quarter)            
Sales            
Net % sales "good" 5/2005 41 52 46 50 56
  Prior qtr. 36 42 45 45 50
Profits            
Net % profits "good" 5/2005 27 35 27 32 37
  Prior qtr. 24 28 24 32 33
Employment            
Current job openings (one or more)            
% "Yes" 5/2005 20 23 20 15 26
  Prior qtr. 15 18 19 19 21
Per employee payroll cost            
Net % "risen" 5/2005 15 15 13 17 19
  Prior qtr. 13 12 16 12 18
Employee cost pressures (greater)            
% Wages 5/2005 59 55 58 54 58
  Prior qtr. 53 60 54 57 61
% Benefits 5/2005 24 23 24 28 27
  Prior qtr. 29 21 26 24 25
    Tenn. Ga. Mo. N.C. Va.
Productivity            
Upgraded technology/processes (last three months)            
% "Yes" 5/2005 41 46 42 44 43
  Prior qtr. 40 43 46 34 41
Made capital expenditure(s)  (last three months)            
% "Yes" 5/2005 39 36 40 43 39
  Prior qtr. 38 36 43 42 43
Made expenditure to train employee(s) (last three months)            
% "Yes" 5/2005 39 42 38 42 39
  Prior qtr. 36 40 35 41 37
Capacity utilization - can increase sales 10% without new inputs            
% "Yes" 5/2005 49 61 54 52 47
  Prior qtr. 56 49 49 49 51
Credit availability (last three months)            
% All credit needs satisfied 5/2005 35 39 39 39 37
  Prior qtr. 43 43 41 39 43
% All credit needs not satisfied 5/2005 6 5 6 5 7
  Prior qtr. 5 7 5 7 6
% No credit needs 5/2005 53 52 47 52 50
  Prior qtr. 47 42 45 48 45
    Tenn. Ga. Mo. N.C. Va.
Prices            
Purchasing prices (last three months)            
Net % increased 5/2005 58 55 58 54 56
  Prior qtr. 52 49 53 51 50
Selling prices (last three months)            
Net % increased 5/2005 13 17 18 14 18
  Prior qtr. 17 15 20 15 16
Miscellaneous            
Involvement in start of another business            
% "Yes" 5/2005 10 13 13 9 13
  Prior qtr. 11 10 11 11 11
Single most important business problem            
% Weak sales 5/2005 8 11 9 9 8
  Prior qtr. 10 13 12 10 12
% Taxes 5/2005 13 13 9 13 12
  Prior qtr. 11 13 12 10 11
% Employee quality/costs 5/2005 10 13 12 10 13
  Prior qtr. 9 12 7 8 9
% Insurance 5/2005 19 12 20 17 12
  Prior qtr. 15 11 19 17 12
% Big-business competition 5/2005 11 15 13 14 17
  Prior qtr. 15 11 12 14 18
% Inflation/Rising prices 5/2005 13 12 13 12 15
  Prior qtr. 14 16 13 16 14
% Credit availability/Interest rates 5/2005 2 2 4 3 3
  Prior qtr. 4 3 3 2 3
% Regulations/Red tape 5/2005 8 9 6 8 6
  Prior qtr. 8 7 8 5 6

* Insufficient cases



Tennessee Quarterly Spotlight
How important is immigrant labor to businesses in your area? Is it very important, somewhat important, not too important or not at all important?
Very important 17%
Somewhat important 24%
Not too important 19%
Not at all important 28%
Don't know/Refused 13%
Total 100%
Which best describes the role immigrant labor plays in your area?
Provides skills not otherwise available 8%
Fills jobs that otherwise wouldn't be filled 30%
Crowds out American workers 12%
No appreciable role 27%
Don't know/Refused 23%
Total 100%

 

The Poll
NFIB’s Tennessee Small-Business ConditionsSM is a telephone survey of a random sample of Tennessee small employers regarding business conditions within the state. “Small employer” is defined here as employing between one and 250 people (not including the owner(s)) in a for-profit business. Each edition of the survey has a minimum of 350 respondents. The sampling error is ± 5 percentage points. Data are collected quarterly in the months of February, May, August and November, beginning in February 2005. The MRCGroup of Las Vegas conducts the survey for the NFIB Research Foundation.

The Sponsor
The NFIB Research Foundation is a 501 (c)(3) organization that provides policy-makers, media, educators, small-business owners and other interested parties empirically based information on small business and small-business owners. The Foundation is affiliated with the National Federation of Independent Business, the nation’s largest small- and independent-business advocacy organization, and is located in Washington, D.C.

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