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Small Business Outlook in New Jersey Dims in Second Quarter Economic Survey
Release Date: 06/ 01/ 2005

CONTACT: John Holub, (609) 989-8777 or Jim Jennings, (240) 645-4099

Employee Wages and Benefits Continue as Top Economic Pressure

NEW JERSEY -- New Jersey's small-business owners continue to have a negative view of the state's business climate, according to the second quarter findings of the New Jersey Small Business ConditionsSM survey. Only a net 10 percent of the small-business owners surveyed said the business environment is supportive.

The report's data, released today by the National Federation of Independent Business/New Jersey, provides an overview of small-business conditions within New Jersey and compares them with neighboring states. In Pennsylvania, for example, nearly a net one-quarter of the small-business owners surveyed said the commonwealth was supportive of small business.

While the New Jersey business owners didn't feel support in the state, they were optimistic when it came to business conditions. More than two-thirds of those surveyed said business conditions were good in their market area.

More than half of those surveyed said prices for goods and services they purchased had risen in the last three months. The costs of wages and benefits continue to be a major cost pressures on their businesses.

"Let's face it, doing business in New Jersey is expensive," said John Holub, NFIB/New Jersey state director. "But the costs of doing business – from employee wages to insurance costs – are not in the hands of the business owners. Lawmakers need to stop raising the cost of doing business, from the minimum wage to health insurance mandates."

On the plus side, Holub noted, business owners are optimistic, with more than half of the small-business owners reporting prospects for business over the next several months were good. That optimism was based on future sales prospects, according to the survey, followed by seasonal weather and greater productivity.

Insurance continues to be the No. 1 problem facing New Jersey's small businesses. Health costs were cited by the respondents as the top area in the state budget that needs to be reduced, followed by economic development and public welfare.

"This shows us that New Jersey's small-business owners are able to hold their own, but they want state government to begin acting like a business rather than being handed a pot of money," said Holub.

The Small Business ConditionsSM reports are developed from surveys of small-business owners in selected states. The surveys are designed to determine the condition of the small-business economy in each particular state. The surveys are conducted every three months and results are released on the first day of the month following completion. The text of the questions and the complete response set to the survey can be found at www.NFIB.com/research.

New Jersey Small-Business ConditionsSM
This chart shows the results from New Jersey and its comparative standing among selected nearby states.
    N.J. N.Y. Pa.
Business Climate Survey Date      
Overall state business environment        
Net % supportive of small business 5/2005 11 0 22
  Prior qtr. 15 3 23
Business conditions in market area        
Net % "good" 5/2005 38 22 30
  Prior qtr. 36 17 29
Net % "improving" 5/2005 13 0 0
  Prior qtr. 12 7 15
Outlook for business        
Net % "good" in next three months 5/2005 57 47 43
  Prior qtr. 54 56 63
Reason for optimism        
% Sales prospects 5/2005 39 48 37
  Prior qtr. 40 63 39
% Lower costs 5/2005 2 4 1
  Prior qtr. 7 2 2
% Price increases 5/2005 3 3 4
  Prior qtr. 1 4 3
% Greater productivity 5/2005 11 13 18
  Prior qtr. 18 10 18
% Government policy 5/2005 6 4 4
  Prior qtr. 5 2 4
% Seasonal/Weather 5/2005 14 8 12
  Prior qtr. - - -
Reason for pessimism        
% Sales prospects 5/2005 IC* IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Cost increases 5/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Pressure on selling prices 5/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Lower productivity 5/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Government policy 5/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
    N.J. N.Y. Pa.
Sales and earnings (last quarter)        
Sales        
Net % sales "good" 5/2005 34 31 35
  Prior qtr. 29 25 36
Profits        
Net % profits "good" 5/2005 21 10 21
  Prior qtr. 16 12 20
Employment        
Current job openings (one or more)        
% "Yes" 5/2005 22 21 19
  Prior qtr. 23 22 19
Per employee payroll cost        
Net % "risen" 5/2005 16 16 15
  Prior qtr. 13 29 16
Employee cost pressures (greater)        
% Wages 5/2005 49 45 51
  Prior qtr. 45 56 45
% Benefits 5/2005 32 31 31
  Prior qtr. 35 28 36
    N.J. N.Y. Pa.
Productivity        
Upgraded technology/processes (last three months)        
% "Yes" 5/2005 38 41 43
  Prior qtr. 41 47 40
Made capital expenditure(s)  (last three months)        
% "Yes" 5/2005 37 40 42
  Prior qtr. 41 45 41
Made expenditure to train employee(s) (last three months)        
% "Yes" 5/2005 34 35 40
  Prior qtr. 37 42 35
Capacity utilization - can increase sales 10% without new inputs        
% "Yes" 5/2005 51 45 52
  Prior qtr. 53 54 57
Credit availability (last three months)        
% All credit needs satisfied 5/2005 40 35 43
  Prior qtr. 39 34 37
% All credit needs not satisfied 5/2005 5 6 4
  Prior qtr. 7 12 6
% No credit needs 5/2005 46 50 45
  Prior qtr. 50 47 53
    N.J. N.Y. Pa.
Prices        
Purchasing prices (last three months)        
Net % increased 5/2005 50 54 59
  Prior qtr. 47 56 51
Selling prices (last three months)        
Net % increased 5/2005 18 14 18
  Prior qtr. 12 16 20
Miscellaneous        
Involvement in start of another business        
% "Yes" 5/2005 13 11 11
  Prior qtr. 12 17 9
Single most important business problem        
% Weak sales 5/2005 12 11 13
  Prior qtr. 10 11 10
% Taxes 5/2005 9 11 11
  Prior qtr. 11 16 12
% Employee quality/costs 5/2005 8 8 10
  Prior qtr. 8 9 11
% Insurance 5/2005 20 16 19
  Prior qtr. 22 17 18
% Big-business competition 5/2005 13 14 13
  Prior qtr. 17 14 15
% Inflation/Rising prices 5/2005 10 10 13
  Prior qtr. 6 11 7
% Credit availability/Interest rates 5/2005 3 1 3
Prior qtr. 4 5 3
% Regulations/Red tape 5/2005 8 7 7
  Prior qtr. 7 7 10

* Insufficient cases

New Jersey Quarterly Spotlight
In what general area of the state budget are reductions MOST warranted?
Education 8%
Transportation and roads 7%
Economic development 13%
Health 17%
Public welfare 10%
Police and corrections 4%
Other 7%
Don't know/Refused 35%
Total 100%
Which type of tax increase would have the most adverse effect on your business?
Payroll taxes 20%
Corporate income or franchise taxes 11%
Real property taxes 13%
Sales taxes 11%
Personal income taxes 14%
Personal property, including inventory taxes 9%
Other 3%
Don't know/Refused 19%
Total 100%

 

The Poll
NFIB’s New Jersey Small-Business ConditionsSM is a telephone survey of a random sample of New Jersey small employers regarding business conditions within the state. “Small employer” is defined here as employing between one and 250 people (not including the owner(s)) in a for-profit business. Each edition of the survey has a minimum of 350 respondents. The sampling error is ± 5 percentage points. Data are collected quarterly in the months of February, May, August and November, beginning in February 2005. The MRCGroup of Las Vegas conducts the survey for the NFIB Research Foundation.

The Sponsor
The NFIB Research Foundation is a 501 (c)(3) organization that provides policy-makers, media, educators, small-business owners and other interested parties empirically based information on small business and small-business owners. The Foundation is affiliated with the National Federation of Independent Business, the nation’s largest small- and independent-business advocacy organization, and is located in Washington, D.C.

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