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Doing the Business Climate Limbo: How Low Can We Go in Michigan?
Release Date: 09/ 01/ 2005

CONTACT: Charles Owens or Keith Carey, (517) 485-3409
or Michael Diegel, (202) 554-9000

Third Quarter Results put Michigan in the Basement

LANSING, Mich. -- Michigan’s overall business climate ratings hit record lows according to the most recent Michigan Small-Business ConditionsSM poll. The report’s data, which was released today by the National Federation of Independent Business/Michigan, provides an overview of small-business conditions within Michigan and compares them with neighboring and other large population states.

“Michigan’s rankings from the first and second quarter survey were so poor we didn't think they could get much worse, but they did,” said Charlie Owens, NFIB/Michigan state director. “We have moved to the bottom rank on five out of seven key measures.”

Michigan ranked last among the 26 states included in the survey on current business conditions, whether conditions were improving, the outlook for the next three months, whether sales were considered to be “good” and whether profits were considered to be “good.” Michigan was only third from the bottom on a supportive business environment, with California and Connecticut tied for second from last, and Washington in last place. Michigan tied with three other states for the second-to-last slot in current job openings.

“If this were a race to the bottom, Michigan would be in the lead,” said Owens. “Our business climate situation is becoming desperate, and it is incumbent upon our state leaders to take immediate action.” Owens urged the legislature to move forward on the recently proposed House tax plan and to avoid weakening the significant tort reforms that were passed in 1995. In addition, he asked the legislature to scuttle attempts by the administration to impose onerous new ergonomic regulations.

The Small-Business ConditionsSM reports are developed from surveys of small-business owners in selected states. The surveys are designed to determine the condition of the small-business economy in each particular state. The surveys are conducted every three months and results are released on the first day of the month following completion. For information about the Small-Business ConditionsSM project and other small-business research studies conducted by the NFIB Research Foundation, visit www.NFIB.com/research.

Michigan Small-Business ConditionsSM
This chart shows the results from Michigan and its comparative standing among selected states in the region.
    Mich. Ind. Ohio Wis.
Business Climate Survey Date        
Overall state business environment          
Net % supportive of small business 8/2005 8 28 11 17
  Prior qtr. 7 32 8 31
Business conditions in market area          
Net % "good" 8/2005 2 29 20 36
  Prior qtr. 0 31 23 40
Net % "improving" 8/2005 -5 9 2 6
  Prior qtr. -4 12 4 19
Outlook for business          
Net % "good" in next three months 8/2005 40 56 49 60
  Prior qtr. 52 52 51 68
Reason for optimism          
% Sales prospects 8/2005 42 45 50 49
  Prior qtr. 38 47 40 44
% Lower costs 8/2005 3 4 4 2
  Prior qtr. 3 2 2 2
% Price increases 8/2005 2 5 2 3
  Prior qtr. 5 3 6 5
% Greater productivity 8/2005 11 12 12 11
  Prior qtr. 12 12 17 14
% Government policy 8/2005 4 5 3 2
  Prior qtr. 2 4 6 4
% Seasonal/Weather 8/2005 10 8 8 10
  Prior qtr. - - - -
Reason for pessimism          
% Sales prospects 8/2005 IC* IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Cost increases 8/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Pressure on selling prices 8/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Lower productivity 8/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
% Government policies 8/2005 IC IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC IC
    Mich. Ind. Ohio Wis.
Sales and earnings (last quarter)          
Sales          
Net % sales "good" 8/2005 22 37 34 42
  Prior qtr. 24 35 33 43
Profits          
Net % profits "good" 8/2005 0 14 13 22
  Prior qtr. 6 19 17 23
Employment          
Current job openings (one or more)          
% "Yes" 8/2005 17 19 17 24
  Prior qtr. 16 16 17 20
Per employee payroll cost          
Net % "risen" 8/2005 8 12 12 20
  Prior qtr. 11 14 9 12
Employee cost pressures (greater)          
% Wages 8/2005 50 57 50 49
  Prior qtr. 52 55 52 53
% Benefits 8/2005 31 26 33 35
  Prior qtr. 30 30 30 33
    Mich. Ind. Ohio Wis.
Productivity          
Upgraded technology/processes (last three months)          
% "Yes" 8/2005 38 41 40 41
  Prior qtr. 39 38 40 41
Made capital expenditure(s)  (last three months)          
% "Yes" 8/2005 35 42 40 45
  Prior qtr. 39 38 39 41
Made expenditure to train employee(s) (last three months)          
% "Yes" 8/2005 36 39 39 44
  Prior qtr. 42 35 35 36
Capacity utilization - can increase sales 10% without new inputs          
% "Yes" 8/2005 53 49 50 54
  Prior qtr. 51 57 50 56
Credit availability (last three months)          
% All credit needs satisfied 8/2005 31 35 37 43
  Prior qtr. 34 38 36 41
% All credit needs not satisfied 8/2005 7 5 6 6
  Prior qtr. 10 6 7 6
% No credit needs 8/2005 55 53 51 48
  Prior qtr. 49 50 51 46
    Mich. Ind. Ohio Wis.
Prices          
Purchasing prices (last three months)          
Net % increased 8/2005 55 55 55 63
  Prior qtr. 50 57 51 54
Selling prices (last three months)          
Net % increased 8/2005 10 16 16 22
  Prior qtr. 15 17 17 20
Miscellaneous          
Involvement in start of another business          
% "Yes" 8/2005 9 8 8 9
  Prior qtr. 10 12 12 8
Single most important business problem          
% Weak sales 8/2005 17 11 13 11
  Prior qtr. 16 9 12 10
% Taxes 8/2005 11 15 18 12
  Prior qtr. 11 15 11 15
% Employee quality/costs 8/2005 7 9 8 9
  Prior qtr. 5 4 8 6
% Insurance 8/2005 17 16 13 20
  Prior qtr. 20 18 18 23
% Big-business competition 8/2005 11 13 14 13
  Prior qtr. 11 15 13 15
% Inflation/Rising prices 8/2005 14 13 12 12
  Prior qtr. 10 13 15 13
% Credit availability/Interest rates 8/2005 3 2 3 1
  Prior qtr. 1 4 3 3
% Regulations/Red tape 8/2005 5 6 8 8
  Prior qtr. 8 8 7 4
*Insufficient cases

Michigan Quarterly Spotlight
In general, how satisfied are you with the direction that Michigan is headed? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not too satisfied or not at all satisfied?
Very satisfied 1%
Somewhat satisfied 39%
Not too satisfied 32%
Not at all satisfied 22%
Don't know/Refused 5%
Total 100%
How would you rate the quality of education in Michigan's public schools, K-12?
Excellent 6%
Good 32%
Average 35%
Not good 8%
Poor 11%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total 100%

 

The Poll
NFIB’s Michigan Small-Business ConditionsSM is a telephone survey of a random sample of Michigan small employers regarding business conditions within the state. “Small employer” is defined here as employing between one and 250 people (not including the owner(s)) in a for-profit business. Each edition of the survey has a minimum of 350 respondents. The sampling error is ± 5 percentage points. Data are collected quarterly in the months of February, May, August and November, beginning in February 2005. The MRCGroup of Las Vegas conducts the survey for the NFIB Research Foundation.

The Sponsor
The NFIB Research Foundation is a 501 (c)(3) organization that provides policy-makers, media, educators, small-business owners and other interested parties empirically based information on small business and small-business owners. The Foundation is affiliated with the National Federation of Independent Business, the nation’s largest small- and independent-business advocacy organization, and is located in Washington, D.C.

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