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Bay State's Small-Business Owners Sour on State's Economy
Release Date: 12/ 01/ 2005

CONTACT: Bill Vernon, (617) 482-1327 or Jim Jennings, (240) 645-4099

BOSTON, Mass. -- Massachusetts' overall business climate has started to turn downward, according to the Massachusetts Small-Business ConditionsSM. The report's data, which was released today by the National Federation of Independent Business/Massachusetts, provides an overview of small-business conditions within Massachusetts and compares them with neighboring states.

"Massachusetts' small employers are reporting a significant drop-off in their market's business conditions as compared to the third quarter, with many reporting a drop in sales and profits," said Bill Vernon, NFIB/Massachusetts state director.

A net 34 percent of the state's small employers believe business conditions in their market area are "good," a drop from the third quarter's 41 percent. But Massachusetts' business owners remain optimistic about the future as the outlook for the next three months remained steady, with a net 60 percent reporting a "good" outlook compared to last quarter's 62 percent.

Of those surveyed in Massachusetts, a net 24 percent indicated that profits were "good" — a drop from last quarter's 32 percent — and a net 39 percent of those same respondents characterized sales as "good," a drop from last quarter's 48 percent. A net 22 percent reported they had raised their selling prices — up from last quarter's 14 percent. Yet the business owners' purchasing prices remained stable although they had increased earlier in the year.

Two-thirds of the business owners surveyed reported negative impacts from rising energy costs on their businesses, with one in five saying the high energy costs had a serious negative effect on their firm.

When asked to rank their most important business problem, Massachusetts small-business owners continued to rank insurance, including health care costs, as the most serious of all conditions. Taxes, employee quality and costs, as well as rising prices, were also prominently mentioned as serious problems.

Vernon noted that the survey was taken before legislative efforts to impose a payroll tax on some firms to fund health care for the uninsured was debated.

Massachusetts Small-Business ConditionsSM
This chart shows the results from Massachusetts and its comparative standing among selected nearby states.
    Mass. Conn. N.Y.
Business Climate Survey Date      
Overall state business environment        
Net % supportive of small business 11/2005 20 13 -1
  Prior qtr. 11 6 12
Business conditions in market area        
Net % "good" 11/2005 34 35 17
  Prior qtr. 41 29 29
Net % "improving" 11/2005 4 10 -6
  Prior qtr. 6 7 9
Outlook for business        
Net % "good" in next three months 11/2005 60 57 48
  Prior qtr. 62 57 53
Reason for optimism        
% Sales prospects 11/2005 49 46 40
  Prior qtr. 45 47 47
% Lower costs 11/2005 5 5 6
  Prior qtr. 3 4 3
% Price increases 11/2005 4 6 8
  Prior qtr. 3 6 7
% Greater productivity 11/2005 14 16 15
  Prior qtr. 14 10 13
% Government policy 11/2005 6 2 3
  Prior qtr. 2 4 5
% Seasonal/Weather 11/2005 5 8 9
  Prior qtr. 12 5 7
Reason for pessimism        
% Sales prospects 11/2005 IC* IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Cost increases 11/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Pressure on selling prices 11/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Lower productivity 11/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
% Government policy 11/2005 IC IC IC
  Prior qtr. IC IC IC
    Mass. Conn. N.Y.
Sales and earnings (last quarter)        
Sales        
Net % sales "good" 11/2005 39 43 34
  Prior qtr. 48 38 42
Profits        
Net % profits "good" 11/2005 24 29 13
  Prior qtr. 32 13 26
Employment        
Current job openings (one or more)        
% "Yes" 11/2005 22 19 20
  Prior qtr. 23 22 23
Per employee payroll cost        
Net % "risen" 11/2005 10 19 17
  Prior qtr. 16 15 19
Employee cost pressures (greater)        
% Wages 11/2005 46 49 50
  Prior qtr. 47 47 48
% Benefits 11/2005 35 27 30
  Prior qtr. 35 35 29
    Mass. Conn. N.Y.
Productivity        
Upgraded technology/processes (last three months)        
% "Yes" 11/2005 40 41 48
  Prior qtr. 41 41 46
Made capital expenditure(s)  (last three months)        
% "Yes" 11/2005 37 41 46
  Prior qtr. 41 41 46
Made expenditure to train employee(s) (last three months)        
% "Yes" 11/2005 36 43 44
  Prior qtr. 38 34 43
Capacity utilization - can increase sales 10% without new inputs        
% "Yes" 11/2005 53 53 55
  Prior qtr. 52 58 55
Credit availability (last three months)        
% All credit needs satisfied 11/2005 35 39 40
  Prior qtr. 40 31 32
% All credit needs not satisfied 11/2005 9 9 10
  Prior qtr. 5 10 10
% No credit needs 11/2005 50 48 45
  Prior qtr. 49 53 54
    Mass. Conn. N.Y.
Prices        
Purchasing prices (last three months)        
Net % increased 11/2005 53 60 68
  Prior qtr. 55 58 55
Selling prices (last three months)        
Net % increased 11/2005 22 25 24
  Prior qtr. 14 14 18
Miscellaneous        
Involvement in start of another business        
% "Yes" 11/2005 10 14 12
  Prior qtr. 10 10 11
Single most important business problem        
% Weak sales 11/2005 10 9 10
  Prior qtr. 9 9 11
% Taxes 11/2005 12 11 15
  Prior qtr. 8 16 15
% Employee quality/costs 11/2005 10 11 9
  Prior qtr. 11 7 7
% Insurance 11/2005 17 17 16
  Prior qtr. 19 17 15
% Big-business competition 11/2005 12 14 10
  Prior qtr. 13 14 13
% Inflation/Rising prices 11/2005 15 14 12
  Prior qtr. 15 12 10
% Credit availability/Interest rates 11/2005 5 4 3
  Prior qtr. 4 3 3
% Regulations/Red tape 11/2005 5 6 8
  Prior qtr. 6 8 8
*Insufficient cases

Massachusetts Quarterly Spotlight
What has been the impact on your business of the recent run-up in energy prices?
Seriously negative 19%
Somewhat negative 20%
Slightly negative 26%
No impact 26%
No impact 3%
Positive 3%
Don't know 4%
Refused 2%
Total 100%
What is the single most important action you have recently taken to offset rising energy costs?
Raised selling prices 15%
Invested in energy-conserving equipment or vehicles 8%
Reduced energy use 24%
Absorbed costs with lower earnings 14%
Reduced non-energy costs such as payroll 7%
Other 10%
Don't know/Refused 22%
Total 100%

 

The Poll
NFIB’s Massachusetts Small-Business ConditionsSM is a telephone survey of a random sample of Massachusetts small employers regarding business conditions within the state. “Small employer” is defined here as employing between one and 250 people (not including the owner(s)) in a for-profit business. Each edition of the survey has a minimum of 350 respondents. The sampling error is ± 5 percentage points. Data are collected quarterly in the months of February, May, August and November, beginning in February 2005. The MRCGroup of Las Vegas conducts the survey for the NFIB Research Foundation.

The Sponsor
The NFIB Research Foundation is a 501 (c)(3) organization that provides policy-makers, media, educators, small-business owners and other interested parties empirically based information on small business and small-business owners. The Foundation is affiliated with the National Federation of Independent Business, the nation’s largest small- and independent-business advocacy organization, and is located in Washington, D.C.

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